Chinese Democracy sales predictions & First week sales

[mikegiuliana]

I think you people are nuts with some of these numbers...

[gnr-4-ever]

I think it will sell better then AFD 

[Dr_Sweden]

its a hard question.... i think it will sell alot more than contraband did ..., Specially here in Europe...most of the shows here are sold out ... they play 2 dates on the same venue ..... and i think many people that arent guns fans also will by it becuse to see how it sounds like ...

[mdttkk]

Now i do realize that the music world changes often, but i was just looking at some first week album sales.  Red Hot Chili Peppers Stadium Arcadium, something over 400,000 units sold in the first week.  Thats pretty good, but then i remembered hearing this insane amount of albums sold by this other crappy artist and just checked it out.  Usher r&b artist sold over 1 million in the first week, and one of eminems albums sold nearly 2 million in its first week.  I know that was in their heyday and probably wont sell even half as much on any of their future albums but still.  Any rock album released has a huge disadvantage with todays market and listeners.  How do you think Chinese Democracy will sell in the first week? 

I am hoping for them beating the Chili Peppers but i honestly dont know at this point.  If they get alot of advertising which they probably will soon hopefully, maybe even more.  I know i would be very very happy with something like 700,000 units sold in first week but thats wishful thinking.

[nesquick]

I would say somewhere between 300K and 800K. But they need to release a single first.
Outside USA, based on the Greatest Hits sales, I think ChiDEm will be very successfull, especially in the UK and in Northern European countries.
The most important will be the music though. If it's great, it could stay on the Charts for a long, long time (like the GH) but if it's not, it will probably fade away and deseapear quickly like Contraband.

[diablo280273]

I think the name and the buzz are good for 'round 350.000 in the states alone. Anything above that will depent on the succes of the first single. If that is a smash hit than 700K or 800K is possible.

If they are aiming for a late november release, then a single has to surface within the next few weeks. You better damn well believe that the record company will do anything to boost record sales so what do we have right now....

- The band has a few weeks off, so my guess is they are probably rehearsing new tunes (the single) and shooting a video.
- The record company wants to profite from christmas and thanksgiving sales to the max, you don't have to be a genuis to figure that out. So the album has to come out 'round the 21st of nov at the latest, that leaves us with 5 or 6 weeks and that is bassically the remaining time for a single to create the buzz, and getting everybody ready and warmed up for the album.

[TOPGUNner]

I'm going to say between 300K-400K for the US. I think regardless of if a single is put out before the album release, the fans with buy the CD first, and the skeptics will wait to hear it from them on whether or not it's any good.

[AtariLegend]

If GNR sells as much as RHCP do these days then maybe Axl will be satisfied

[guns_n_motley]

what do you think??? I think it will go platinum fairly quickly, maybe within 2 weeks...

[RageNirvanaNIN]

yea probably alot , but even more torrents will be downloaded.

[AxlReznor]

It'll be a moderate success.  I think it'll most likely be like The Fragile by Nine Inch Nails... go straight to number one the first week, but disappear without a trace the second.  It'll no doubt be an amazing album... but I can't think of many people outside of the internet that will be buying it.

[November_Rain]

I know I?m talking from Captain Obvious? position but this is something impossible to know untill the record is out. I think it has more to do with our wishes for GNR/Axl to succeed with this record.

[guns_n_motley]

I aggree with mrredfield... it will probably debut huge and then fall off the charts

[PJ]

2 copies

[Tyson]

 can sell 5 million of what really amounts to only a solid and respectable rock album, the upside for Chinese Democracy, in my opinion, is huge.  When consideration is given to the fact that an entire new generation will be exposed to the GNR, in addition to all the existent fans, this may just really be something bigger than any of us have anticipated. 

[von]

Who the fuck on here finds anything by Nickelback "solid and respectable"? Nickelback plays to all those puss-ass Wal-Mart-Rockers. GN'R don't want or need that. Chinese Democracy will reign supreme over such tepid crap.

[Communist China]

Nickelback has had years of supposedly good albums to build up a reputation. GN'R doesn't. Besides, what does Nicke;back's sales mean to CD anyway? Another competitor, maybe, but not a gage. I see CD making 2-3 mil.

[bigbri]

If Nickelsuck can sell that much, GNR should do 8 easily.

[The Legend]

If Nickelsuck can sell that much, GNR should do 8 easily.

Yep. Regardless of people's opinions of the music, they're already a proven brand-name.

[alternativemonkey]

The following article from Variety should persuade others that "CD" shouldn't be judged as a failure by the number of units sold. Those that want? 4, 5, 10 million units, should sober up after reading this article. It just isn't realistic.

Disney's 'High School Musical' soundtrack was the year's top seller.
 
The music biz can't stem the bleeding, but, for now, digital tracks are proving to be a secure band-aid.
Album sales dropped for a seventh consecutive year, but a dramatic increase in the sale of digital tracks helped keep the music industry afloat in 2006.

588.2 million album units sold last year, a 4.9% drop, while 581.9 million digital tracks were purchased by consumers -- a 65% increase from 2005's 352.7 million sold. Nielsen SoundScan, which released the figures Thursday, counts a block of 10 tracks sold as an album.

But the music industry continues to live with a double-edged sword. While hits were created -- Daniel Powter's "Bad Day," Gnarls Barkley's "Crazy," Shakira's "Hips Don't Lie" -- no top-selling artists generated follow-ups that did significant business. Disney's "High School Musical" soundtrack was the year's top seller at 3.7 million units, but in the 15 years SoundScan has been keeping sales figures, it is the lowest total for the year's chart-topper. Good news: Sales were spread around many different artists. Bad news: The bar for a "hit" is reduced and in many cases the return on investment for a label is smaller.

If you are interested read the rest here: http://www.variety.com/article/VR1117956655.html?categoryid=16&cs=1

The music industry has changed since 1991. Judge the music. That's all that really matters. Forget album sales.