How many copies do you think Chinese Democracy will sell?

[Wolfpac]

With the way the leaks/demos sound I highly doubt it will even come close to AFD or UYI but I want to save my conclusion until I finish listening to the album.

[Adler_Sorum_Brain]

The album will sell 3 - 4 million copies..then 20 million kids will download it

[Bodhi]

I dont think it will sell as well for a number or reasons

1.downloading
2. rock music is not as popular as it used to be
3. this is the one most people over look.  Appetite was available on vinyl, cassette and cd...it came out before cds went mainstream, so alot of people who owned the vinyl upgraded to cassette and then cd, thus buying possibly 3 or more copies of the record...the same can be said for the illusions, i owned the cassette versions before I bought the cds...now just because it wont sell as well as the Illusions or Appetite doesnt mean a thing...Axl spent 15 years making the album perfect, if he was concerned about album sales he would have recorded a quick follow up to the illusions,,,i think this record is going to be amazing

[tomass74]

It won't come close to matching UYIsales in the states...  Maybe in the rest of the world..

[guns97]

Plus you have to figure in the fact that CD is not as good as AFD or UYI, hence sales will not be as high.

I'll save the bitter replies with replying to myself:

"How can you say that, you haven't even heard it!!"  Yeah well I've heard enough of it, its NOT as good.  Take away more talented guitar/songwriting people and replace with less talent and you have...well...less talent.

[Bodhi]

dude what are you talking about? fortus and bumblefoot can play circles around Slash...Its like the master Zakk Wylde said slash is good but he doesnt have the same chops as the greats....

[CheapJon]

don't know about UYI 1 and 2 but it will outsell contraband

[AppetiteForChinese]

First Day: i say at least 80,000-100,000

First Week: 200,000-400,000

First Few Months: Platinum

Eventually: 3x Platinum


i guess it all depends on how well its publicized, but those are my predictions

[SterileEyes]

I agree with every prediction you just made actually.

[Apollon]

Do you really think it hasn't been discussed before?

[AppetiteForChinese]

I agree with every prediction you just made actually.

awesome
 

[SterileEyes]

Do you really think it hasn't been discussed before?

Sure it has. And now it's our turn! 

Merry Christmas to you though!

Edit - did you really write *locked* even though you're not a mod?? That's.....amusing...mmmmmmk then. Continue discussion in spite of the psuedo lock everyone!

(view the psuedo lock for yourself in the next post down...)

P.S. Any prediction for total international sales? I predict more success in Europe than the US.

[Apollon]

Do you really think it hasn't been discussed before?

Sure it has. And now it's our turn!?

Merry Christmas to you though!

Merry Christmas.

*locked*

[freedom78]

It's entirely dependent on how it does outside of GNR's fanbase and other fans of 80s hard rock, etc.  If it gets hot with the MTV crowd, it could sell ten million.  If not, 2-3...maybe 5 eventually.

[TrixAreForKids]

I think GnR' will break rock album sales in the first week.

[gandra]

3 x platinum at least

[burden]

2 to 3 million.  I think GnR will need a monster hit to get the album out to the mainstream. 

[vince41090]

2 to 3 million.  I think GnR will need a monster hit to get the album out to the mainstream. 

Better could very well be that hit...

[markpeterhughes73]

2 to 3 million.? I think GnR will need a monster hit to get the album out to the mainstream.?

Better could very well be that hit...

I'm an old GNR fan from 80s and must admit that it has taken time for the leaks to grow on me, especially with the expectations I have.  I really don't think GNR are ever going to reproduce what they had years ago. I would love it to happen but lets face it, it will take MASS media the way it used to be back in the 80s and 90s.  This can't happen in this day and age because the press are too interested in what the modern youth want to see and its not GNR and never will be Axls in his 40s now he is what Lemmy and Bon Scott were in the late 80s.  Axl's days have gone into a downward spiral just like the old greats like Bon Jovi, Iron Maiden (Although they get good reviews), Metallica, this goes on and on but you've heard and read the rumours about GNR not being able sell out their shows.  GNR are losing the small fan base with every year that passes. Most people here on the boards are new gunners that got into UYI I&II because there older siblings or parents listened to Appetite.

Jarmo did a vote a while back to see what the age groups are and most are kids that weren't old enough to drink a bud when Appetite was around.

I think they'll be lucky to shift a million. SO MUCH HOPING TO BE WRONG THOUGH! JUSt GETTING FED UP

[polluxlm]

If the critics don't like it, and there are no hits: 2-4 million
If the critics don't like it, but there are hits: 4-6 million
Critics love it, calling it one of the best albums ever, and you have several hits: 10+ million

Worldwide.

That's pretty much the best you can do these days.