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The Perils Of Rock N' Roll Decadence => Duff, Slash & Velvet Revolver => Topic started by: Naupis on June 02, 2004, 03:08:01 PM



Title: How many copies do you expect Contraband to sell next Week?
Post by: Naupis on June 02, 2004, 03:08:01 PM
I was just wondering about this as I saw Avril is on top of the charts with 381,000. I would have to say I am expecting VR to come in anywhere from about 80,000-150,000. I think those are realistic numbers and anything north of those would have to be considered a major success as a debut release of a new band regardless of their pedigree. This is the type of album that will sell it copies over the long haul if a more successful single hits later on. A full scale tour will help down the road as well. What does everyone else think?


Title: Re:How many copies do you expect Contraband to sell next Week?
Post by: coondogg on June 02, 2004, 03:54:28 PM
I would say 100,000, give or take 20,000.


Title: Re:How many copies do you expect Contraband to sell next Week?
Post by: duga on June 02, 2004, 04:11:16 PM
Top 5 in Sweden

It's no 12 at ginza.se right now.

Edit: Number 8 at ginza.se now  :beer:


Title: Re:How many copies do you expect Contraband to sell next Week?
Post by: Eduardo on June 02, 2004, 04:57:42 PM
I dont know, I think they?ll start to sell as soon as their 2nd hit hits the radio. Hopefully it?ll be YGNR or FTP


Title: Re:How many copies do you expect Contraband to sell next Week?
Post by: Dave_Rose on June 02, 2004, 06:32:57 PM
It could very well make it 2 the number one spot most GN'R and STP fans will buy and of course young people who have heard VR and liked them will buy it.


Title: Re:How many copies do you expect Contraband to sell next Week?
Post by: Buckethead Superstar on June 02, 2004, 06:38:15 PM
im buying all three colours


Title: Re:How many copies do you expect Contraband to sell next Week?
Post by: GNRisAFD on June 02, 2004, 06:50:14 PM
I think it will sell well and capture a new audience along the way.

I don't know if former Guns n Roses fans will be impressed though.


Title: Re:How many copies do you expect Contraband to sell next Week?
Post by: Jizzo on June 02, 2004, 08:42:23 PM
450,000+

Its going to be huge.

I modified my number in responce to the fact its only shipping 600,000 copies


Title: Re:How many copies do you expect Contraband to sell next Week?
Post by: Naupis on June 02, 2004, 08:50:46 PM
750,000+

Its going to be huge

Are you smoking something? I love teh guys but Avril lavigne just sold 381,000 copies her first week, and she is mega popular. There is no way VR will sell that in what week, I wish it would, but those types of #'s are reserved for Eminem and Usher, not less established acts like VR who are releasing their debut album.


Title: Re:How many copies do you expect Contraband to sell next Week?
Post by: Imfuckincrazy on June 02, 2004, 08:59:06 PM
Quote
750,000+

:rofl:


Title: Re:How many copies do you expect Contraband to sell next Week?
Post by: Jizzo on June 02, 2004, 09:05:38 PM
Were talking about avril here. Who buys her cd's? 13 year old girls.

Velvet Revolver has a much wider fan base already. Ask any rock fan 15-55 who Velvet Revolver is and the words Slash or Guns N Roses will come up.

If the album is priced right it will sell more than avril's


Title: Re:How many copies do you expect Contraband to sell next Week?
Post by: Booker Floyd on June 02, 2004, 09:10:16 PM
750,000+

Its going to be huge

Its only shipping 600,000 copies....Slowwww down.  ;D

Its tough to gauge how much this will do...but Im guessing that 150,000 is a safe number.  Itll most likely debut in the top 3.


Title: Re:How many copies do you expect Contraband to sell next Week?
Post by: Timothy on June 02, 2004, 09:28:42 PM
750,000+

Its going to be huge

 but those types of #'s are reserved for Eminem and Usher
And Norah Jones .
114,245


Title: Re:How many copies do you expect Contraband to sell next Week?
Post by: Jizzo on June 02, 2004, 09:50:00 PM
I thought it was shipping a million copies for some reason.

I edited it to 3/4 of the amount shipped, 450,000.

It will be # 1. There is not another record this week that can compete


Title: Re:How many copies do you expect Contraband to sell next Week?
Post by: Booker Floyd on June 02, 2004, 10:35:02 PM
I edited it to 3/4 of the amount shipped, 450,000.

It will be # 1. There is not another record this week that can compete

No, theres no debuts competing that week, but its always possible that Avril and Slipknot will have little drop-off and maintain high sales for the second week.


Title: Re:How many copies do you expect Contraband to sell next Week?
Post by: Mr Cowbell ? on June 03, 2004, 12:41:51 AM
It will be No 2 on Billboard here in the US. It will edge out Slipknot for the second spot but it would outsell Avril.  I'm pretty there are enough young punks (skater bois!) and old perverts out there to put that Album at no 1 again. It will probalby sell 250,000 or so in its second week. I think VR will be compareable to GNR hits in its first week. Look for it to sell around 200-225,000 copies in its first week.

I don't think EVERY STP and EVERY GNR fan is gonna buy it. We have to assume there is 10 million people in the US who have AFD, lets say half of them are true GnR fans. I dont think that they are gonna sell 5 million albums, much less the STP fans.

I dont want to be the one to ruin anyone's party but look for Contraband to Debut at No 2. Thats my guess.


Title: Re:How many copies do you expect Contraband to sell next Week?
Post by: SunKing278 on June 03, 2004, 04:04:58 AM
I would say anywhere between 200,000 and 300,000 copies.  There is a really good buzz for this record, and I think it will sell in the hundreds of thousands and stay Top Ten for at least the first several weeks of its release.  I don't really care very much about charts, but how cool would it be to have VR debut at number one?  I think they can do it.  The only other notable release on Tuesday that I'm aware of is the Gene Simmons record, and that might do 100,000 at the very most.


Title: Re:How many copies do you expect Contraband to sell next Week?
Post by: starchild_666 on June 03, 2004, 04:34:06 AM
as this is their debute album.... 80, 000  :)


Title: Re:How many copies do you expect Contraband to sell next Week?
Post by: D on June 03, 2004, 04:36:52 AM
u heard it here first, check this next week and pat me on the back it will 156,000 copies or so

guarantee it!


Title: Re:How many copies do you expect Contraband to sell next Week?
Post by: smeagol2124 on June 03, 2004, 03:37:27 PM
I expect it to do 120,000-200,000 first week, then drop like a rock to 30-60,000 in week 2 once the new Beastie Boys album comes out.  This album may SHIP a million copies in the US first month, but no chance in hell that this manufactured (read:hand picked by Clive Davis to sell some records for his sorry-assed label) band will sell anywhere near as many copies as some of you think.  Come back and let's chat again in 4 weeks when it is floating around the #20 or #25 spot, selling 15K a week.


Title: Re:How many copies do you expect Contraband to sell next Week?
Post by: St.heathen on June 03, 2004, 03:49:06 PM
I expect it to do 120,000-200,000 first week, then drop like a rock to 30-60,000 in week 2 once the new Beastie Boys album comes out.  This album may SHIP a million copies in the US first month, but no chance in hell that this manufactured (read:hand picked by Clive Davis to sell some records for his sorry-assed label) band will sell anywhere near as many copies as some of you think.  Come back and let's chat again in 4 weeks when it is floating around the #20 or #25 spot, selling 15K a week.

Yeh i too was going to mention the Beastie Boys album. In the UK they ( so far as i have seen) are both out Monday.  So i'd guess it will be a kind of battle between those two bands. It's quite a quiet week otherwise as far as albums go.

But the positive reviews can only help and with the positive outcome of the GNR Greates hits will surely help things.  I'd be happy with a respectable top 10 position, though i could see it top 5.  I could imagine world wide sales of a couple of million by the time they have toured and promoted it ect  


Title: Re:How many copies do you expect Contraband to sell next Week?
Post by: erose on June 03, 2004, 04:10:05 PM
i think it will do well in norway, at least for a while! i just saw a comercial for it on the biggest comercial tv channel(tv2) here in norway. i'm guessing it'll debut at #1!  : ok:


Title: Re:How many copies do you expect Contraband to sell next Week?
Post by: the dirt on June 03, 2004, 05:00:40 PM
151, 362 first week.


Title: Re:How many copies do you expect Contraband to sell next Week?
Post by: Jive on June 03, 2004, 05:03:58 PM
100,000 ball park

mark my words


Title: Re:How many copies do you expect Contraband to sell next Week?
Post by: TK1 on June 03, 2004, 08:41:36 PM
I think anything over 150,000 would be pretty good for them...


Title: Re:How many copies do you expect Contraband to sell next Week?
Post by: Jizzo on June 05, 2004, 12:13:56 AM
I'm optimistic about the number being high